3 Committee discussion
The appraisal committee considered evidence submitted by Novartis and a review of this submission by the evidence review group (ERG). See the committee papers for full details of the evidence.
Treatments
It is valuable to have a range of biological treatment options for children and young people with psoriasis
3.1 The committee was aware that the aim of treatment for psoriasis is to reduce the area of skin covered with psoriatic lesions and improve symptoms such as redness, flaking and itching. It noted that children and young people have topical treatments first line. Then, if there is an inadequate response to treatment or if it is contraindicated or not tolerated, they can have phototherapy or systemic non-biological therapies second line. These therapies include methotrexate and ciclosporin. Clinicians then offer children and young people biological therapies such as adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab. The committee noted that, if the condition no longer responds to a biological treatment, people are offered another biological therapy. It concluded that it is valuable to have a range of biological treatment options for plaque psoriasis that have different mechanisms of action.
Decision problem
The company's proposed population is consistent with previous NICE recommendations for biological treatments for psoriasis
3.2 The company's proposed population for this appraisal was narrower than secukinumab's marketing authorisation. This was because it excluded people who had not had systemic non‑biological therapy or phototherapy. The company considered that secukinumab would be used to treat psoriasis in children and young people as an alternative to other biological therapies for psoriasis. That is, it would be used for people whose condition has not responded adequately to non‑biological systemic treatment or phototherapy, or if these treatments are contraindicated or not tolerated. The committee concluded that the proposed population was consistent with previous NICE recommendations for biological treatments for psoriasis, and in line with the expected use of secukinumab in clinical practice.
Ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab are relevant comparators
3.3 The company provided a comparison with 2 of the biological treatments (etanercept and ustekinumab) recommended in NICE's technology appraisal guidance on adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people. The committee was aware that, similar to secukinumab, which is a recombinant human monoclonal antibody interleukin (IL)‑17 inhibitor, ustekinumab is an IL‑12 and -23 inhibitor. It also noted that etanercept is a tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitor. The company did not provide a comparison with the other biological treatment in its original submission and recommended in the NICE guidance, that is, adalimumab (also a TNF inhibitor). It explained that it was not possible to connect adalimumab to the network meta-analysis because of a lack of overlap in comparators in paediatric studies. The committee was aware that adalimumab is licensed for children and young people 4 years and older but that ustekinumab is only recommended for young people 12 years and older. So, adalimumab may be an important comparator for the 6 to 17 years age range. The committee also noted that there are several biosimilar adalimumab products available and that it represents a substantial proportion of the market share. However, it recognised that, in a chronic condition that can relapse and remit, people are likely to cycle through multiple treatment options. It was aware that cost‑comparison recommendations include a statement to note that if patients and their clinicians consider the intervention to be one of a range of suitable treatments, the least expensive should be chosen. The committee concluded that ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab are all relevant comparators.
The definition of response is consistent with NICE's technology appraisal guidance on adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab
3.4 The committee recalled that, in NICE's technology appraisal guidance on adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people, treatment should stop if there is an inadequate disease response after an initial treatment period (etanercept at 12 weeks, and adalimumab and ustekinumab at 16 weeks). An adequate response is defined as a 75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score from the start of treatment. The committee further noted that the definition of response to secukinumab proposed by the company is in line with these criteria. It concluded that the definition of response is consistent with the other NICE technology appraisal guidance, although timing of this assessment varies slightly between different biological treatments.
Clinical effectiveness
Secukinumab is more effective than etanercept
3.5 Secukinumab has been compared with etanercept and placebo in a randomised control trial (Paediatric Study A2310) including 162 children and young people with plaque psoriasis. The trial showed that people having secukinumab had a higher PASI response rate (PASI 75, that is, a 75% reduction in PASI score from baseline) compared with placebo and etanercept at week 12. The trial also showed that, at week 52, the higher response rates were sustained. The committee accepted the results of these trials and concluded that secukinumab was likely more effective than etanercept.
Secukinumab has a similar effectiveness to ustekinumab
3.6 To provide a comparison of effectiveness with ustekinumab, the company produced network meta‑analyses using a fixed-effect model with data from 4 clinical trials. The model provided PASI response rates and Children's Dermatology Life Quality Index scores comparing secukinumab with etanercept, ustekinumab and placebo. The committee accepted that the model was suitable for decision making. It further noted that the results showed that secukinumab has a similar efficacy to ustekinumab and is likely to be more effective than etanercept and placebo. The committee noted that the safety and outcome results were similar to those for other biologicals used for psoriasis. It concluded that secukinumab has a similar effectiveness to ustekinumab.
In the absence of evidence, it is reasonable to assume adalimumab and ustekinumab are equally effective
3.7 The company's provided network meta-analysis did not include adalimumab as a comparator. It said that this was because there were no paediatric studies of adalimumab with overlapping comparators that would allow it to be connected to the network. The committee acknowledged that it had not been possible to include paediatric adalimumab data within the network. The company presented a scenario that assumed adalimumab to be equal in effectiveness to ustekinumab. The ERG preferred a naive indirect comparison of adalimumab from the paediatric study (comparing methotrexate and adalimumab). This comparison resulted in a lower response rate for adalimumab than etanercept. The committee thought this to be unlikely and recalled conclusions from previous appraisals on treatments for plaque psoriasis in adults and children. It acknowledged that, in NICE's technology appraisal guidance on adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab, some potential biases in using data from adults had been noted. However, these had been considered to have been mitigated through adjustment. The committee further noted that the conclusion in that appraisal had been that ustekinumab and adalimumab are broadly similar in effectiveness. In the absence of evidence for adalimumab, the committee concluded that it would be reasonable to assume that adalimumab and ustekinumab are equally effective, but that this was likely to be a conservative estimate.
Cost comparison
The total costs for secukinumab are similar to or lower than those for ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab
3.8 The company presented a cost-comparison analysis that modelled the total costs of secukinumab, ustekinumab and etanercept over 5 years. To determine the proportion of people who continue treatment, it took into account stopping treatment based on PASI 75 response rates. This was consistent with the stopping rules specified in previous NICE technology appraisal guidance on treatments for plaque psoriasis. The company's base-case analysis assumed similar monitoring, safety profile, treatment administration and subsequent therapies for all 3 treatments. So, these costs were excluded. That is, the base-case analysis considered only the acquisition costs of secukinumab, ustekinumab and etanercept. The committee agreed that it was reasonable to assume similar healthcare resource use across the 3 treatments. The ERG considered that a 12‑year time horizon was more appropriate. It also thought that the assumption of no further costs after stopping treatment was not reflective of clinical practice. The ERG produced a cost‑comparison analysis over 12 years that included adalimumab as a comparator and a scenario that simplified further treatment costs. The committee preferred the 12‑year time horizon. It considered the results that accounted for the confidential patient access schemes for secukinumab and the comparators. The committee concluded that the total costs for secukinumab were similar to or lower than those for ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab (the exact results cannot be reported here because the discounts are confidential).
Equality issues
The PASI may not be appropriate for all people with psoriasis
3.9 The committee noted, as in previous NICE technology appraisals on psoriasis, the potential equality issues with the PASI because it might underestimate disease severity in people with darker skin. It concluded that, when using the PASI, healthcare professionals should take into account skin colour and how this could affect PASI scores, and make the clinical adjustments they consider appropriate.
Conclusion
Secukinumab is recommended as an option for treating severe plaque psoriasis in children and young people
3.10 The committee concluded that the criteria for a positive cost comparison were met because:
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secukinumab provides similar or greater overall health benefits than ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab and
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the total costs of secukinumab are similar to or lower than the total costs of ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab.
The committee therefore recommended secukinumab as an option for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people. It concluded that the recommendations for secukinumab should be consistent with the company's proposal and NICE's recommendations for other biological therapies, that is: -
if the disease is severe (that is, a PASI of 10 or more) and
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the disease has not responded to other systemic treatments, including ciclosporin, methotrexate and phototherapy, or these options are contraindicated or not tolerated and
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the treatment is stopped at 12 weeks if the psoriasis has not responded adequately and
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if patients and their clinicians consider secukinumab to be one of a range of suitable treatments (for example, ustekinumab, etanercept and adalimumab), the least expensive is chosen (taking into account administration costs, dosage, price per dose and commercial arrangements).