Resource impact summary report
This summary report is based on the NICE assumptions used in the resource impact template. Users can amend the 'Inputs and eligible population' and 'Unit costs' worksheets in the template to reflect local data and assumptions.
NICE has recommended belzutifan with managed access as an option for treating von Hippel-Lindau (VHL) disease in adults:
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who need treatment for VHL-associated renal cell carcinomas, central nervous system hemangioblastomas or pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours, and
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when localised procedures are unsuitable or undesirable.
It is only recommended if the conditions in the managed access agreement for belzutifan are followed.
Eligible population for belzutifan
The evaluation of tumour surveillance protocols and outcomes in VHL disease in a national health service (Maher et al. 2022) study estimated a maximum prevalence of 1.46 per 100,000 population.
The same study identified that of those with VHL disease, 170 had renal cell carcinomas, 183 had central nervous system hemangioblastomas and 36 had pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours. This total of 389 people equates to 46.2% of people with VHL disease.
Clinical expert opinion estimated that 35% would be unsuitable for localised procedures or that it would be undesirable.
Table 1 below shows the population who are eligible for belzutifan and the number of people who are expected to have belzutifan in each of the next 5 years. These figures include the impact of the predicted population growth.
Eligible population and uptake for belzutifan | Current practice | 2024-25 | 2025-26 | 2026-27 | 2027-28 | 2028-29 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
People eligible for belzutifan |
109 |
110 |
111 |
112 |
113 |
114 |
Market share for belzutifan (%) |
0 |
33 |
67 |
95 |
95 |
95 |
People having belzutifan each year |
0 |
36 |
74 |
107 |
108 |
72 |
People in the prevalent population who have belzutifan |
0 |
36 |
74 |
107 |
108 |
109 |
Note that the number of people having belzutifan decreases in 2028-29 because the peak market share is expected to have been reached in 2026-27 and the treatment duration is modelled for 4 years.
Market share in 2024-25 is assumed lower due to the guidance publishing in October 2024.
The market share for belzutifan is based on consultant opinion. It can be amended to reflect local practice in the resource impact template.
Treatment options for the eligible population
Surgery and other localised procedures are the main treatment options for people with VHL, but sometimes they are not appropriate. The clinical and patient experts explained that there is an unmet need for effective new treatments for people with VHL when surgery is unsuitable.
Clinical-effectiveness evidence from a small study suggests that belzutifan reduces tumour size. It also suggests that it increases the amount of time people have before their condition gets worse, but by how much is uncertain. Belzutifan is expected to deliver savings resulting from delaying the progression of VHL disease. This in turn reduces the costs associated with surgeries.
For more information about the treatments, such as dose and average treatment duration, see the resource impact template.
Financial resource impact (cash items)
The company has a commercial arrangement. This makes belzutifan available to the NHS with a discount. The size of the discount is commercial in confidence.
The confidential price of belzutifan can be put into the resource impact template and other variables may be amended.
The payment mechanism for the technology is determined by the responsible commissioner and depends on the technology being classified as high cost.
Further analysis is provided in the resource impact template, and the financial impact of cash items can be calculated.
Capacity impact
The phase 2 belzutifan trial (MK-6482-004) found the median treatment duration to be 21.7 months. Treatment was ongoing in 89% of people at point of data cut off. Treatment duration is unknown, and the resource impact template estimates 4 years but can be modelled up to 5 years.
The recommended dose of belzutifan is 120 mg (three 40 mg tablets) taken orally each day.
People with VHL disease may also require multiple surgeries and may incur costs from the short- and long-term complications of surgeries. The rates and costs associated with surgery and complications can be input into the resource impact template to reflect local assumptions.
There will be a capacity increase due to additional oral administration appointments (assumed to be one appointment in each 28-day cycle) for delivering treatment with belzutifan.
Table 2 shows the impact on capacity activity across the eligible population in each of the next 5 years.
– | Current practice | 2024-25 | 2025-26 | 2026-27 | 2027-28 | 2028-29 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of oral administration appointments |
0 |
472 |
967 |
1,385 |
1,398 |
940 |
Number of follow-up appointments |
0 |
73 |
149 |
213 |
215 |
145 |
Number of MRI scans |
109 |
146 |
185 |
219 |
221 |
187 |
Further analysis is provided in the resource impact template, and the financial capacity impact, from a commissioner and provider perspective can be calculated.
Key information
Time from publication to routine commissioning funding |
Managed access |
---|---|
Programme budgeting category |
04B Endocrine, Nutritional and Metabolic problems, Endocrine |
Commissioner(s) |
NHS England |
Provider(s) |
Secondary care – acute |
Pathway position |
Treating tumours associated with von Hippel-Lindau disease |
About this resource impact summary report
This resource impact summary report accompanies the NICE technology appraisal guidance on belzutifan for treating tumours associated with von Hippel-Lindau disease and should be read with it. See terms and conditions on the NICE website.
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ISBN: 978-1-4731-6534-2