Resource impact summary report

This summary report is based on the NICE assumptions used in the resource impact template. Users can amend the 'Inputs and eligible population' and 'Unit costs' worksheets in the template to reflect local data and assumptions.

Recommendation

NICE has recommended relugolix within its marketing authorisation, as an option for treating prostate cancer in adults:

  • with advanced hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

  • alongside radiotherapy for high-risk localised or locally advanced hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

  • as neoadjuvant treatment before radiotherapy for high-risk localised or locally advanced hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

Eligible population for relugolix

Table 1 below shows the population who are eligible for relugolix and the number of people who are expected to start relugolix in each of the next 5 years. These figures include the impact of the predicted population growth.

Table 1 Population expected to be eligible for and start relugolix in England
Eligible population and uptake Current practice (without relugolix) 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29

People eligible for relugolix

38,172

38,540

38,912

39,287

39,666

40,048

Uptake for relugolix (%)

0

15

20

25

30

30

People starting relugolix each year

0

5,781

7,782

9,822

11,900

12,015

To calculate the eligible population:

Treatment options for the eligible population

The relevant comparators are ADT alone, GnRH agonists such as leuprorelin, goserelin and triptorelin and GnRH antagonists such as degarelix.

Clinical experts advise that 85% of people choose ADT and the introduction of relugolix would not alter the clinical pathway. Relugolix would replace existing ADTs in the pathway.

For people who don't have metastatic prostate cancer, the duration of treatment is estimated to be 24 months. For people with metastatic disease, the duration of treatment is expected to be 72 months and it is assumed that people with metastatic disease would remain on ADT indefinitely.

The resource impact template separates the high risk/locally advanced and metastatic prostate cancer groups and models 2-year treatment for the high risk/locally advanced group and ongoing treatment for the metastatic group (5 years included in the template).

All ADTs recommended by NICE are currently delivered by nurse-administered subcutaneous injection, ranging from monthly to every 6 months, depending on the formulation. Relugolix is an oral treatment that provides an alternative to current injectable treatments. Relugolix will be initiated in secondary care and continued in primary care.

For more information about the treatments, such as dose and average treatment duration, see the resource impact template.

Financial resource impact (cash items)

The list price for relugolix is £87.45 (excluding VAT; dictionary of medicines and devices, accessed August 2024) for a 30 pack of 120 mg tablets.

The key drivers of financial resource impact are:

  • Uptake of relugolix

  • Treatment duration for non-metastatic and metastatic groups.

  • These figures include the impact of the predicted population growth.

Table 2 shows the estimated costs of treatment in each of the next 5 years.

Table 2 Financial resource impact (cash items) in England £'000
Cash impact Current practice (without relugolix) 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29

Cash impact (including drug costs) £'000

85,236

85,970

87,160

88,105

89,720

91,410

The payment mechanism for the technology is determined by the responsible commissioner and depends on the technology being classified as high cost.

For further analysis see the resource impact template.

Capacity impact

The most common grade 3+ adverse events for relugolix were arthralgia, fatigue, hot flush and hypertension. However, these were of low incidence, are considered too small to be meaningful and are therefore not included.

Adverse events relating to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were included based on information from the company submission. Applying this relative risk to the annual rate of MACE for people on GnRH agonists gives an annual risk of 15.2% and 5.7% for those on GnRH antagonists.

Once the ADT regimen has started, the model assumes that no switches occur.

Relugolix is administered orally whereas the comparator treatments are delivered subcutaneously. Nurse-administered subcutaneous injection can be administered monthly to every 6 months depending on the formulation. The resource impact template allows commissioners to assess the resource impact of administration required at provider services.

Table 3 shows the impact on capacity activity across the eligible population in each of the next 5 years. These figures include the impact of the predicted population growth.

Table 3 Capacity impact (activity) in England
Capacity impact Current practice 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29

Number of administration appointments (GP nurse)

551,591

575,166

608,260

632,190

662,259

687,569

Number of administration appointments (secondary care)

137,898

143,792

152,065

158,047

165,565

171,892

Number of follow up appointments

404,279

405,752

408,710

412,015

415,670

419,678

Number of full blood count tests

758,024

760,784

766,331

772,528

779,381

786,896

Number of CT scans

202,140

202,876

204,355

206,008

207,835

209,839

Number of liver function tests

758,024

760,784

766,331

772,528

779,381

786,896

Number of kidney function tests

758,024

760,784

766,331

772,528

779,381

786,896

Number of PSA tests

758,024

760,784

766,331

772,528

779,381

786,896

For further analysis or to calculate the financial capacity impact from a commissioner (national) and provider (local) perspective, see the resource impact template.

Table 4 Key information

Time from publication to routine commissioning funding

90 days

Programme budgeting category

02H cancer, Urological

Commissioner(s)

ICB

Provider(s)

Primary care / Secondary care - acute

Pathway position

Hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

About this resource impact summary report

This resource impact summary report accompanies the NICE guidance on Relugolix for treating hormone-sensitive prostate cancer and should be read with it. See terms and conditions on the NICE website.

ISBN: 978-1-4731-6125-416