Resource impact summary report

This summary report is based on the NICE assumptions used in the resource impact template. Users can amend the 'Inputs and eligible population' and 'Unit costs' worksheets in the template to reflect local data and assumptions.

Recommendation

NICE has recommended elranatamab with managed access as an option for treating relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma in adults, only after 3 or more lines of treatment (including an immunomodulatory drug, a proteasome inhibitor and an anti‑CD38 antibody) when the multiple myeloma has progressed on the last treatment. It is only recommended if the conditions in the managed access agreement for elranatamab are followed.

Eligible population for elranatamab

The Multiple myeloma: patient outcomes in real-world practice study estimates that 15% of people with multiple myeloma are expected to receive fourth-line treatment.

Table 1 shows the population who are eligible for fourth-line treatment and the number of people who are expected to have elranatamab in each of the next 5 years. These figures include the impact of the predicted population growth.

Table 1 Population expected to be eligible for fourth-line treatment and have elranatamab in England
Eligible population and uptake for elranatamab Current practice 2025 to 2026 2026 to 2027 2027 to 2028 2028 to 2029 2029 to 2030

People eligible for fourth-line treatment

785

792

800

808

815

823

Uptake of elranatamab (%)

0

20.0

32.5

32.5

32.5

32.5

Number of people starting elranatamab each year

0

158

260

262

265

268

The market share for elranatamab is based on consultant haematologist opinion. It can be amended to reflect local practice in the resource impact template.

Treatment options for the eligible population

The treatment most commonly used for relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma after 3 lines of treatment (including an immunomodulatory agent, a proteasome inhibitor and an anti‑CD38 antibody) is pomalidomide plus dexamethasone.

Teclistamab is another treatment option included in the resource impact template. It was recently recommended for use in routine commissioning in the NHS in NICE's technology appraisal guidance on teclistamab for treating relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma after 3 or more treatments.

If the myeloma is refractory to 5 or more treatments, selinexor plus dexamethasone can be used. The resource impact of this is considered in the resource impact template and report for NICE's technology appraisal guidance on selinexor with dexamethasone for treating relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma after 4 or more treatments.

A consultant haematologist highlighted that there might be a group of people with the condition (approximately 10%) currently having panobinostat, bortezomib and dexamethasone at fourth line.

For more information about the treatments, such as dose and average treatment duration, see the resource impact template.

Financial resource impact (cash items)

The company has a commercial arrangement. This makes elranatamab available to the NHS with a discount. The size of the discount is commercial in confidence.

The confidential price of elranatamab can be put into the resource impact template and other variables may be amended.

The payment mechanism for the technology is determined by the responsible commissioner and depends on the technology being classified as high cost.

Further analysis is provided in the resource impact template, and the financial impact of cash items can be calculated.

Capacity impact

The median treatment duration for elranatamab is assumed to be 5.6 months. This is based on the MagnetisMM‑3 trial.

Treatment with elranatamab and teclistamab needs the person to be hospitalised during the step-up dosing protocol to mitigate the risks of cytokine release syndrome (CRS) and neurotoxicity. Based on consultant haematologist opinion this is assumed to be for 5 days.

Elranatamab and teclistamab are administered by a subcutaneous injection. Whereas the main comparator, pomalidomide with dexamethasone, is delivered orally. So, there are more administration appointments needed for treatment with elranatamab. The resource impact template allows commissioners to assess the resource impact of any additional attendances at provider services.

Adverse events relating to CRS or neurotoxicity may result in administrations of tocilizumab and additional critical care episodes.

Adverse events relating to hypogammaglobulinaemia may result in administrations of intravenous immunoglobulin therapy.

There is uncertainty over the number of patients who may need additional medications for adverse events and the treatment duration for these.

The adverse-event rates and associated costs can be amended in the resource impact template to reflect local assumptions.

Table 2 shows the impact on capacity activity across the eligible population in each of the next 5 years. This is based on market share increases for both elranatamab and teclistamab and includes the impact of the predicted population growth.

Table 2 Capacity impact (activity) in England
Resources Current practice 2025 to 2026 2026 to 2027 2027 to 2028 2028 to 2029 2029 to 2030

Number of administration appointments

5,022

12,992

18,117

18,291

18,468

18,646

Number of additional bed days

0

1,584

2,600

2,625

2,650

2,675

Number of follow-up appointments

9,384

9,475

9,566

9,658

9,752

9,846

Number of full blood count tests

3,104

3,937

4,482

4,525

4,569

4,613

Number of biochemistry tests

3,104

3,830

4,305

4,347

4,389

4,431

Further analysis is provided in the resource impact template. The financial capacity impact, from a commissioner (national) and provider (local) perspective can be calculated.

Table 3 Key information

Time from publication to commissioning

Managed access

Programme budgeting category

2I Cancers and Tumours, Haematological

Commissioner(s)

NHS England

Provider(s)

Secondary care - acute

Pathway position

Treating relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma after 3 or more treatments

About this resource impact summary report

This resource impact summary report accompanies the NICE guidance on Elranatamab for treating relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma after 3 or more treatments and should be read with it. See terms and conditions on the NICE website.

ISBN: 978-1-4731-6700-1