4 Consideration of the evidence
The Appraisal Committee reviewed the data available on the clinical and cost effectiveness of empagliflozin, having considered evidence on the nature of type 2 diabetes and the value placed on the benefits of empagliflozin by people with the condition, those who represent them, and clinical specialists. It also took into account the effective use of NHS resources.
4.1 The Committee discussed the clinical treatment pathway for type 2 diabetes. It heard from the clinical specialists that although focused on reducing glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) without weight gain or hypoglycaemia, treatment for type 2 diabetes is individualised for each patient. This results in some variation in clinical practice. However, current UK practice broadly follows the NICE guideline on type 2 diabetes: the management of type 2 diabetes, which recommends a stepwise approach that includes using diet and exercise, various antidiabetic drugs and insulin. The Committee noted that each of the existing antidiabetic therapies had various advantages and disadvantages affecting their suitability for patients and that many patients do not achieve the target HbA1c levels with the existing therapies. The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that empagliflozin would be most valuable for patients who are overweight with inadequate glycaemic control, who have good renal function and who are not susceptible to genitourinary infections. The Committee understood that a new treatment providing another option would be welcomed by clinicians.
4.2 The Committee discussed the most likely place for empagliflozin in the treatment pathway, and which treatments in the NICE scope were the key comparators. The Committee noted that many combinations of dual and triple therapy specified in the final scope had not been included in the company's submission, such as empagliflozin plus a sulfonylurea as dual therapy. The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that there may be a small group of people for whom metformin is unsuitable because of gastro‑intestinal intolerance. In these people, empagliflozin plus a sulfonylurea could be used as dual therapy. The Committee also heard from the clinical specialists that empagliflozin could be used as part of dual therapy plus metformin, if sulfonylureas are not suitable due to a perceived risk of hypoglycaemia. The clinical specialists noted that use of thiazolidinediones is decreasing because of safety concerns, particularly increased risk of bladder cancer. The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that even though there may be a place for empagliflozin as part of dual therapy, it is more likely to be used as part of triple therapy. The Committee noted that the company's submission only included dipeptidyl peptidase‑4 (DPP‑4) inhibitors and other sodium‑glucose cotransporter‑2 (SGLT‑2) inhibitors as the comparators of empagliflozin. The Committee heard from the company that the combinations of dual and triple therapy and the comparators included in its submission were informed by the conclusions made during previous SGLT‑2 inhibitors appraisals, specifically those for NICE technology appraisal guidance on dapagliflozin in combination therapy for treating type 2 diabetes and canagliflozin in combination therapy for treating type 2 diabetes. The Committee was persuaded that the combinations and comparators outlined in the company's submission were appropriate for its decision‑making.
Clinical effectiveness
4.3 The Committee considered the evidence on the clinical effectiveness of empagliflozin compared with other antidiabetic treatments and noted that most of the trials compared empagliflozin with placebo. The Committee noted the Evidence Review Group (ERG)'s comment that the trials were generally of good methodological quality and that demographic characteristics were well balanced. The Committee noted that in general, compared with placebo, empagliflozin was proven to be effective in reducing HbA1c, body weight and systolic blood pressure in dual therapy (plus metformin), in triple therapy (plus metformin and a sulfonylurea or a thiazolidinedione) or as an add‑on to insulin. The Committee also heard from the clinical specialists about their anecdotal experience of using SGLT‑2 inhibitors for treating type 2 diabetes in the trials. The clinical specialists were satisfied with their experience so far and recalled that they had not witnessed any immediate safety concerns. They also stated that their patients achieved better glycaemic control and weight reduction than had been suggested by the results in the trials. The clinical specialists also suggested that although the trials did not show any improvement in quality‑of‑life scores, patients generally valued the weight reduction achieved by empagliflozin. However, the clinical specialists stressed that they had limited experience, having treated only a small number of people with empagliflozin. The Committee concluded that empagliflozin in combination with other antidiabetic agents is proven to be an effective treatment compared with placebo for type 2 diabetes.
4.4 The Committee discussed the original network meta‑analyses which reported the relative effectiveness of empagliflozin with the relevant comparators in the absence of head‑to‑head trials. The Committee noted the ERG's concerns with the way in which the original network meta‑analyses were done and reported. The Committee was reassured by the company, which stated that it had corrected many of the errors identified by the ERG and that the overall conclusion was that empagliflozin, canagliflozin, dapagliflozin and sitagliptin had similar clinical effectiveness. The Committee also considered the new network meta‑analyses provided by the company in response to the appraisal consultation document. It noted that the results of the new analyses also showed that the clinical effectiveness of empagliflozin, canagliflozin, dapagliflozin and sitagliptin was similar. The Committee heard from the ERG that results of an independent unpublished network meta‑analysis, comparing SGLT‑2 inhibitors as dual therapy plus metformin, support the conclusion of similar clinical effectiveness among SGLT‑2 inhibitors. The Committee concluded on the basis of the network meta‑analyses that empagliflozin as part of dual therapy, triple therapy and as an add‑on to insulin appeared to provide comparable glycaemic control both to other SGLT‑2 inhibitors and DPP‑4 inhibitors.
4.5 The Committee discussed the adverse events associated with empagliflozin. It noted that common adverse events associated with SGLT‑2 inhibitors include urinary tract and genital infections, and that these are more common in women than in men. The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that in their experience, in patients treated with empagliflozin the incidence of these infections was low. The Committee was aware that the European public assessment report for empagliflozin reported that cardiovascular adverse events were lower for empagliflozin compared with placebo, even though the follow‑up was short and the analysis included a small number of people. The Committee was concerned about the lack of long‑term efficacy and safety data and heard from the clinical specialists that like other SGLT‑2 inhibitors, empagliflozin therapy would be stopped in patients in whom no adequate clinical response was seen within 6 months. The Committee concluded that the short‑term adverse events of empagliflozin seemed similar to those of other SGLT‑2 inhibitors. The Committee also noted that like other SGLT‑2 inhibitors, long‑term outcomes of empagliflozin treatment were uncertain because of a lack of data.
Cost effectiveness
4.6 The Committee then discussed the original economic model submitted by the company. The Committee noted the ERG's comments regarding its quality and robustness, with the ERG highlighting several errors in the construct of the model which would invalidate any results. The Committee concluded that the company's original model was inherently flawed and so its results could not be considered reliable for making recommendations. The Committee requested further analyses from the company which included revised estimates of the incremental cost‑effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for empagliflozin using a validated economic model, informed by the corrected results of network meta‑analyses and compared with relevant comparators (SGLT‑2 inhibitors and DPP‑4 inhibitors).
4.7 The Committee discussed the new cost‑effectiveness model the company had provided. It noted that as requested in the appraisal consultation document, the new model was a validated model and had been used for previous NICE technology appraisal guidance. The Committee noted that the clinical‑effectiveness data used in the new model were mostly sourced from the new network meta‑analyses. The Committee concluded that the new model and associated results provided a suitable basis for decision‑making.
4.8 The Committee considered the most plausible ICERs for empagliflozin in combination with metformin as dual therapy. Based on clinical specialist opinion, the Committee decided that thiazolidinediones and sulfonylureas were not key comparators in this setting (see section 4.2). The Committee noted that both the company's and ERG's analyses showed that the incremental differences between the costs and QALYS for empagliflozin, canagliflozin 100 mg, canagliflozin 300 mg, dapagliflozin and sitagliptin were small (see sections 3.29 and 3.36). The Committee understood that these low incremental costs and health benefits meant the ICERs could vary dramatically in response to even small changes. The Committee considered that it was important to take this into account when interpreting the ICERs. Overall, the Committee concluded that because of the very small differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin and either canagliflozin, dapagliflozin or sitagliptin, empagliflozin as part of a dual therapy with metformin had been shown to be a cost‑effective use of NHS resources. The Committee therefore recommended empagliflozin 10 mg and 25 mg as a treatment option when the alternative treatments would be canagliflozin, dapagliflozin or a DPP‑4 inhibitor, in line with the recommendations in NICE's guideline on type 2 diabetes and NICE technology appraisal guidance on dapagliflozin in combination therapy for treating type 2 diabetes and canagliflozin in combination therapy for treating type 2 diabetes (that is, if there is a significant risk of hypoglycaemia or its consequences or if a sulfonylurea is not tolerated or contraindicated).
4.9 The Committee considered the most plausible ICERs for empagliflozin with metformin and a sulfonylurea as triple therapy. The Committee noted that both the company's and ERG's results showed that there were only small incremental differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin, canagliflozin (100 mg and 300 mg) and sitagliptin. It also noted that in the company's analyses, empagliflozin 10 mg was subject to extended dominance (a treatment is 'extendedly dominated' when its ICER is higher than that of the next, more effective, option when compared with a common baseline). The Committee was aware that the marketing authorisation for canagliflozin allows for dose escalation from 100 mg to 300 mg in people who need tighter glycaemic control. The Committee noted that for people having canagliflozin 300 mg, HbA1c levels would have failed to adequately respond to canagliflozin 100 mg. This is a different population from those who would start empagliflozin in clinical practice. The Committee agreed that there was uncertainty around the ICERs presented for canagliflozin 300 mg compared with empagliflozin 10 mg and empagliflozin 25 mg. Despite this uncertainty, the Committee concluded that because of the small differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin, canagliflozin and sitagliptin, empagliflozin 10 mg and 25 mg with metformin and a sulfonylurea in a triple therapy regimen had been shown to be a cost‑effective use of NHS resources and should be recommended as a treatment option for people with type 2 diabetes.
4.10 The Committee considered the most plausible ICERs for empagliflozin with metformin and a thiazolidinedione as triple therapy. The Committee noted that there were only small differences in costs and QALYs between the addition of empagliflozin compared with canagliflozin or sitagliptin. The Committee concluded that empagliflozin 10 mg and 25 mg with metformin and a thiazolidinedione as part of a triple therapy regimen had been shown to be a cost‑effective use of NHS resources and should be recommended as a treatment option for people with type 2 diabetes.
4.11 The Committee considered the most plausible ICERs for empagliflozin as an add‑on treatment to insulin. The Committee concluded that empagliflozin 10 mg and 25 mg had been shown to be a cost‑effective use of NHS resources compared with canagliflozin, dapagliflozin or sitagliptin as an add‑on treatment to insulin because of its very small incremental costs and incremental QALYs. The Committee recommended empagliflozin as a treatment option for people with diabetes that is inadequately controlled by insulin with or without other oral antidiabetic drugs.
Summary of Appraisal Committee's key conclusions
TA336 |
Appraisal title: Empagliflozin combination therapy for treating type 2 diabetes |
Section |
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Key conclusion |
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Empagliflozin in a dual therapy regimen in combination with metformin is recommended as an option for treating type 2 diabetes, only if:
Empagliflozin in a triple therapy regimen is recommended as an option for treating type 2 diabetes in combination with:
Empagliflozin in combination with insulin with or without other antidiabetic drugs is recommended as an option for treating type 2 diabetes. The Committee concluded that the very small differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin (10 mg and 25 mg) and its key comparators showed that empagliflozin was a cost‑effective use of NHS resources as dual therapy in combination with metformin, triple therapy in combination with metformin and either a sulfonylurea or a thiazolidinedione, and as an add‑on treatment to insulin. |
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 4.8, 4.9, 4.10, 4.11 |
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Current practice |
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Clinical need of patients, including the availability of alternative treatments |
The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that although focused on reducing glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) without weight gain or hypoglycaemia, treatment for type 2 diabetes is individualised for each patient. This results in some variation in clinical practice. However, current UK practice broadly follows the NICE guideline on type 2 diabetes, which recommends a stepwise approach that includes using diet and exercise, various antidiabetic drugs and insulin. The Committee noted that each of the existing antidiabetic therapies had various advantages and disadvantages affecting their suitability for patients, and that many patients do not achieve the target HbA1c levels with existing therapies. |
4.1 |
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The technology |
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Proposed benefits of the technology How innovative is the technology in its potential to make a significant and substantial impact on health‑related benefits? |
The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that empagliflozin would be most valuable for patients who are overweight with inadequate glycaemic control, who have good renal function and who are not susceptible to genitourinary infections. The company did not make any claim for innovation. |
4.1 |
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What is the position of the treatment in the pathway of care for the condition? |
The Committee heard from the clinical specialists that even though there may be a place for empagliflozin as part of dual therapy, it is more likely to be used as part of triple therapy. |
4.2 |
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Adverse reactions |
The Committee noted that common adverse events associated with SGLT‑2 inhibitors include urinary tract and genital infections, and that these are more common in women than in men. The Committee concluded that the short‑term adverse events of empagliflozin seemed similar to those of other SGLT‑2 inhibitors, and that long‑term effects were uncertain because of a lack of data. |
4.5 |
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Evidence for clinical effectiveness |
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Availability, nature and quality of evidence |
The Committee noted the ERG's comment that the empagliflozin trials were generally of good methodological quality and that demographic characteristics were well balanced. The Committee considered the new network meta‑analysis provided by the company in response to consultation. It noted that the results of the new analyses showed that the clinical effectiveness of empagliflozin, canagliflozin, dapagliflozin and sitagliptin was similar. |
4.3, 4.4 |
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Relevance to general clinical practice in the NHS |
The Committee heard from the clinical specialists about their anecdotal experience of using SGLT‑2 inhibitors for treating type 2 diabetes in the trials. The clinical specialists were satisfied with their experience so far and recalled that they had not witnessed any immediate safety concerns. They also stated that their patients achieved better glycaemic control and weight reduction than had been suggested by the results in the trials. The clinical specialists also suggested that although the trials did not show any improvement in quality‑of‑life scores, patients generally valued the weight reduction achieved by empagliflozin. |
4.3 |
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Uncertainties generated by the evidence |
The Committee noted that most of the trials compared empagliflozin with placebo and discussed the network meta‑analyses which reported the relative effectiveness of empagliflozin with the relevant comparators in the absence of head‑to‑head trials. The Committee was concerned about the lack of long‑term efficacy and safety data and heard from the clinical specialists that like other drugs in the same class, empagliflozin would be stopped in patients in whom no adequate clinical response was seen within 6 months. |
4.3, 4.5 |
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Are there any clinically relevant subgroups for which there is evidence of differential effectiveness? |
Not applicable. |
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Estimate of the size of the clinical effectiveness including strength of supporting evidence |
On the basis of clinical trial results, the Committee concluded that empagliflozin in combination with other antidiabetic agents is proven to be an effective treatment compared with placebo for type 2 diabetes. The Committee concluded on the basis of the network meta‑analyses that empagliflozin as part of dual therapy, triple therapy and as an add‑on to insulin appeared to provide comparable glycaemic control to both other SGLT‑2 inhibitors and DPP‑4 inhibitors. |
4.3, 4.4 |
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Evidence for cost effectiveness |
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Availability and nature of evidence |
The Committee discussed the new cost‑effectiveness model the company had provided. It noted that the new model was validated and had been used for previous NICE technology appraisal guidance. |
4.7 |
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Uncertainties around and plausibility of assumptions and inputs in the economic model |
The Committee discussed the new cost‑effectiveness model the company had provided. It noted that the new model was validated and had been used for previous NICE technology appraisal guidance. The Committee concluded that the new model and associated results provided a suitable basis for decision‑making. |
4.7 |
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Incorporation of health‑related quality‑of‑life benefits and utility values Have any potential significant and substantial health‑related benefits been identified that were not included in the economic model, and how have they been considered? |
Not applicable. |
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Are there specific groups of people for whom the technology is particularly cost effective? |
Not applicable. |
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What are the key drivers of cost effectiveness? |
There were no specific Committee considerations on the key drivers of cost effectiveness. |
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Most likely cost‑effectiveness estimate (given as an ICER) |
The Committee concluded that the very small differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin (10 mg and 25 mg) and its key comparators showed that empagliflozin was a cost‑effective use of NHS resources as dual therapy in combination with metformin, triple therapy in combination with metformin and either a sulfonylurea or a thiazolidinedione, and as an add‑on treatment to insulin. |
4.8, 4.9, 4.10, 4.11 |
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Additional factors taken into account |
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Patient access schemes (PPRS) |
Not applicable. |
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End‑of‑life considerations |
Not applicable. |
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Equalities considerations and social value judgements |
No issues relating to equality considerations were raised in the submissions, or in the Committee meeting. |