How are you taking part in this consultation?

You will not be able to change how you comment later.

You must be signed in to answer questions

    The content on this page is not current guidance and is only for the purposes of the consultation process.

    Efficacy summary

    Nodule volume reduction

    A systematic review of 1,461 patients with benign thyroid nodules reported a pooled reduction in mean nodule volume of 89% (95% confidence interval [CI] 85% to 92%), n=1,845 nodules, I2=93%) 12 months after microwave ablation (MWA) from an initial mean nodule volume of 15.0 ml after MWA (Zheng 2018).

    A systematic review of 1,146 patients with benign thyroid nodules (BTNs) or papillary thyroid microcarcinomas reported that in benign nodule subgroup analysis, the volume reduction rate (VRR) after MWA treatment (follow-up range 3 to 12 months) was 75% (standard mean difference [SMD]: 0.99, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.08; 5 studies, n=1,159 nodules; I2=0%; Cui 2019).

    A systematic review of 1,768 patients reported that after 12-month follow up, the VRR in patients who had MWA was 80% (95% CI 77% to 83%; 3 studies, n=938 nodules; I2=74%; Guo 2021).

    A non-randomised comparative study of 267 patients reported that after 15 months of follow up, the mean VRR was 93±1.8% and the mean nodule area decreased to 0.16±0.07 cm2 from a baseline of 5.28±3.63 cm2. When split by nodule type, the VRR was 92%±2.4% and the mean nodule area decreased to 0.18±0.06 cm2 from a baseline of 4.7±3.51 cm2 in nodular goitres, and in thyroid cystadenomas the VRR was 94%±1% and the mean nodule area decreased to 0.22±0.09 cm2 from a baseline of 5.87±3.75 cm2 (Honglei 2021).

    A non-randomised comparative study of 578 propensity matched patients reported that after 18 months of follow up, the mean VRR in patients who had MWA was 92% (range 89% to 95%; Jin 2021).

    A case series of 171 patients reported that after 3 years of follow up, the mean VRR was 93.2%. When split by nodule diameter, the mean VRR was 85%±13% for nodules ≤10 ml, 86%±15% for nodules 10 ml to 30 ml, and 87%±15% for nodules ≥30 ml at 12-month follow-up. When split by nodule component, the mean VRR was 83%±16% for solid nodules, 87%±14 % for predominantly solid nodules, and 89%±10% for cystic nodules at 12-month follow up (Luo 2021).

    A non-randomised comparative study of 318 patients reported a VRR at last follow up (mean 14.3±6.5 months) of 83%±32% across all nodules (Shi 2019).

    A non-randomised comparative study of 212 patients reported a decrease in nodule volume from a baseline volume of 2.5 cm3 to 0.51 cm3 after 12-month follow up, and a VRR of 80%±10% after 12 months (Jin 2018).

    A case series of 115 patients reported a decrease in nodule volume from a baseline mean volume of 5.30±8.56 ml to 0.58±1.32 ml after 12-month follow up, and a VRR of 91%±10% after 12 months (Fu 2021).

    A case series of 53 patients reported a decrease in nodule volume from a baseline mean volume of 7.8±11.42 ml to 1.49±4.00 ml after 3-year follow up, and a VRR of 85%±18% (Zhao 2021).

    Pressure symptoms

    A systematic review of 1,146 patients with BTNs or papillary thyroid microcarcinomas reported that across 2 studies looking at benign nodules, the pooled changes in symptom score gave an SMD of 1.51 (95% CI -0.40 to 3.42; 2 studies, n=766 nodules; I2=100%) at 12-month follow up (Cui 2019).

    A systematic review of 1,768 patients reported that after 12-month follow up, there was a decrease in symptom score with an SMD of 1.45 (95% CI 0.34 to 2.56; 3 studies, n=866 nodules; I2=98%; Guo 2021).

    A non-randomised comparative study of 318 patients reported a decrease in symptom score (scored 1 to 10 with 10 being the most severe) from a mean value of 5.8±2.5 to 3.5±1.6 at last follow up (mean 14.3±6.5 months; Shi 2019).

    A case series of 53 patients reported a decrease in symptom score (scored 110 with 10 being the most severe) from a baseline of 4.93±2.16 to 0.85±1.52 after 3‑year follow up (Zhao 2021).

    Cosmetic appearance

    A systematic review of 1,146 patients with BTNs or papillary thyroid microcarcinomas reported that across 3 studies looking at benign nodules, the pooled changes in cosmetic score gave an SMD of 1.20 (95% CI 0.87 to 1.52; 3 studies, n=876 nodules; I2=83%; Cui 2019).

    A systematic review of 1,768 patients reported that after 12-month follow up, there was a decrease in cosmetic score with an SMD of 1.15 (95% CI 0.83 to 1.47; 3 studies, n=866 nodules; I2=81%; Guo 2021).

    A non-randomised comparative study of 318 patients reported a decrease in cosmetic score (scored 1 to 4 with 4 being the most severe) from a mean value of 3.0±0.8 to 1.5±0.8 at last follow up (mean 14.3±6.5 months; Shi 2019).

    A case series of 53 patients reported a decrease in cosmetic score (scored 1 to 4 with 4 being the most severe) from a baseline of 2.94±1.03 to 0.99±1.01 after 3‑year follow up (Zhao 2021).

    Thyroid function

    A non-randomised comparative study of 267 patients reported that all thyroid function tests at baseline and post-ablation showed no statistically significant difference in thyroid function following MWA (Honglei 2021).

    Quality of life

    A non-randomised comparative study of 578 propensity matched patients reported that after 18‑month follow up, quality of life (scored from 0 to 410) increased from an average of 271/410 to 373/410 (range 360 to 386; Jin 2021).